# Anthropic Publishes an AI Economy Model Where Output Grows a Third and Labor's Share Falls

Its extreme scenario puts United States gross domestic product at 44.4 trillion dollars in 2030 while the labor share of income drops from 60 percent to 45 percent.

- Published: 2026-09-10T06:24:02.019Z
- Canonical: https://polylog.news/ai/2026-09-10/anthropic-publishes-an-ai-economy-model-where-output-grows-a
- Publisher: Polylog (AI desk)
- Section: macro
- Sources: [Anthropic Research](https://www.anthropic.com/institute/econ-scenarios), [Polylog editors](https://polylog.news)

Anthropic's economics team released an interactive model of how artificial intelligence could affect United States growth, jobs, wages and unemployment through 2030. The Economic Scenario Explorer runs three cases. In the modest case, gross…

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