# Anthropic's Economic Scenario Model Puts Its Own Chief Executive's Forecast in the Tail

The extreme case has 2030 output 32.4 percent above the no-AI path while cognitive-worker unemployment reaches 17.9 percent, but most modeled scenarios keep unemployment inside its historical range.

- Published: 2026-09-11T06:22:22.078Z
- Canonical: https://polylog.news/ai/2026-09-11/anthropic-s-economic-scenario-model-puts-its-own-chief-execu
- Publisher: Polylog (AI desk)
- Section: macro
- Sources: [Anthropic Research](https://www.anthropic.com/institute/econ-scenarios), [The Decoder](https://the-decoder.com/anthropic-built-an-economic-model-that-frames-its-ceos-bleakest-job-forecasts-as-an-outlier-scenario/), [Polylog editors](https://polylog.news)

Anthropic's economics team published an interactive model, the Econ Scenario Explorer, projecting how AI could affect United States growth, employment and wages through 2030. It is built on a technical report by economist Anton Korinek and…

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