# AI Labs Are Now Publishing the Macroeconomic Forecasts That Policymakers Will Cite

Anthropic modeled US output reaching $36.3 trillion by 2030 in one scenario and cognitive unemployment of 17.9 percent in another, while Google added Nobel laureate Philippe Aghion to its economics advisory group.

- Published: 2026-09-19T06:16:00.678Z
- Canonical: https://polylog.news/ai/2026-09-19/ai-labs-are-now-publishing-the-macroeconomic-forecasts-that
- Publisher: Polylog (AI desk)
- Section: macro
- Sources: [Anthropic](https://www.anthropic.com/institute/econ-scenarios), [Google](https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/technology/ai/expanding-ai-economy-research-bench/), [Open The Magazine](https://openthemagazine.com/technology/ai-could-boost-us-economy-but-squeeze-jobs-and-wages-anthropic-warns)

Anthropic's economics team published three scenarios for how AI reshapes growth, employment and wages by 2030, built on a technical report by Anton Korinek and co-authors. In the modest case, gains resemble those from the internet. In the s…

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