# Anthropic's Own Economic Model Puts Knowledge-Worker Unemployment Near 18 Percent in Its Extreme Case

The scenario explorer treats every job as a bundle of tasks and spans outcomes from internet-scale impact to 15 percent annual growth with falling wages, backed by a survey of nearly 11,000 Americans.

- Published: 2026-09-24T06:18:20.538Z
- Canonical: https://polylog.news/ai/2026-09-24/anthropic-s-own-economic-model-puts-knowledge-worker-unemplo
- Publisher: Polylog (AI desk)
- Section: macro
- Sources: [Anthropic](https://www.anthropic.com/institute/econ-scenarios), [Anthropic Research](https://www.anthropic.com/research/team/societal-impacts)

Anthropic's economics team published an interactive model of how artificial intelligence could change economic growth, employment, and wages through 2030, along with a working paper and a survey of 10,980 United States adults. The model is…

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