# Anthropic's Own Economic Model Puts 2030 US Output Between $34 Trillion and $44 Trillion

The most productive of its three scenarios also carries knowledge-work unemployment near 18 percent, and the survey of more than 10,000 Americans that accompanies it sits closer to the mild case.

- Published: 2026-09-25T06:22:14.083Z
- Canonical: https://polylog.news/ai/2026-09-25/anthropic-s-own-economic-model-puts-2030-us-output-between-3
- Publisher: Polylog (AI desk)
- Section: macro
- Sources: [Anthropic Research](https://www.anthropic.com/institute/econ-scenarios), [Anthropic Research](https://www.anthropic.com/research/team/societal-impacts), [The Next Web](https://thenextweb.com/news/anthropic-ai-economic-scenarios-2030)

Anthropic's economics team has published a model of how artificial intelligence could reshape United States output, employment and wages by 2030, with an interactive explorer built on a technical report on economic scenarios for transformat…

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