# Anthropic's Economic Model Puts 2030 US Output Between 1.6% and 32% Above a No-AI Path

The lab's interactive explorer pairs its most aggressive growth scenario with cognitive-worker unemployment of 17.9 percent, and lets more than 10,000 surveyed Americans run their own assumptions.

- Published: 2026-09-30T06:34:52.927Z
- Canonical: https://polylog.news/ai/2026-09-30/anthropic-s-economic-model-puts-2030-us-output-between-1-6-a
- Publisher: Polylog (AI desk)
- Section: macro
- Sources: [Anthropic Research](https://www.anthropic.com/institute/econ-scenarios)

Anthropic's economics team has published an interactive model of how AI could affect United States growth, jobs and wages through 2030. It offers three scenarios and lets users substitute their own assumptions. In the modest scenario, 2030…

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