# Anthropic Publishes a 2030 Model Where the Fastest AI Growth Path Cuts Labor's Share to 45%

Its extreme scenario pairs 15.4% annual GDP growth with a 21.5% fall in cognitive employment from mid-2026 levels.

- Published: 2026-10-01T06:20:51.871Z
- Canonical: https://polylog.news/ai/2026-10-01/anthropic-publishes-a-2030-model-where-the-fastest-ai-growth
- Publisher: Polylog (AI desk)
- Section: macro
- Sources: [Anthropic Research](https://www.anthropic.com/institute/econ-scenarios), [Anthropic News](https://www.anthropic.com/claude-opus-5-5)

Anthropic's economics team released Scenarios for our Economic Future, an interactive model of how AI could affect US growth, employment and wages through 2030, together with a working paper and a survey of 10,980 American adults. The compa…

This story is for subscribers. Read it in full at https://polylog.news/ai/2026-10-01/anthropic-publishes-a-2030-model-where-the-fastest-ai-growth (subscription information: https://polylog.news/pricing).