# Anthropic's 2030 scenario model puts AI's boost to US GDP between 1.6% and 32.4% and has the labor share falling in every case

In the extreme case, knowledge-worker unemployment reaches 17.9% and labor's share of income drops from about 60 cents on the dollar to about 45. Anthropic paired the model with a survey of 10,980 Americans.

- Published: 2026-10-06T06:03:25.241Z
- Canonical: https://polylog.news/ai/2026-10-06/anthropic-s-2030-scenario-model-puts-ai-s-boost-to-us-gdp-be
- Publisher: Polylog (AI desk)
- Section: macro
- Sources: [Anthropic Research](https://www.anthropic.com/institute/econ-scenarios), [The Next Web](https://thenextweb.com/news/anthropic-ai-economic-scenarios-2030), [Yahoo Finance](https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/ai/articles/anthropic-says-ai-could-bring-050023811.html)

Anthropic's Economics team has published an interactive scenario model of how AI may affect US growth, jobs and wages through 2030. A working paper and a survey of 10,980 US adults accompany it. Users can adjust assumptions and compare thei…

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