# Anthropic's 2030 economic model gives a range from 1.6 percent to 32.4 percent added to United States output

In the extreme scenario, capital takes 54.8 percent of national income and nearly one in five knowledge workers is unemployed, against public expectations of about 5 percent unemployment.

- Published: 2026-10-12T06:16:38.065Z
- Canonical: https://polylog.news/ai/2026-10-12/anthropic-s-2030-economic-model-gives-a-range-from-1-6-perce
- Publisher: Polylog (AI desk)
- Section: macro
- Sources: [Anthropic Research](https://www.anthropic.com/institute/econ-scenarios), [Polylog editors](https://polylog.news), [The Next Web](https://thenextweb.com/news/anthropic-ai-economic-scenarios-2030), [Tom's Guide](https://tomsguide.com/ai/anthropic-modeled-what-ai-could-do-by-2030-the-economy-gets-32-percent-richer-while-workers-get-left-behind)

Anthropic's economics team has published an interactive scenario model of how AI could affect US growth, jobs, wages and unemployment through 2030. It comes with a working paper and a survey of 10,980 US adults. The authors include Anton Ko…

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