# AI-Enabled State Influence Operations

State actors will keep using AI tools to run cheap influence campaigns through third countries that exploit divisions inside rival alliances, while commercial vendors' disclosures become a primary but partial source of public attribution.

- Conviction: 40 / 100 (forming)
- Horizon: Emerging (watchlist)
- Tracking since: 2026-10-14T00:00:00.000Z
- Last updated: 2026-10-14T06:22:11.135Z
- Canonical: https://polylog.news/ai/trends/ai-enabled-state-influence-operations
- Publisher: Polylog
- Affected regions: Global

## Recent evidence

- [confirms] OpenAI says Russian operatives posed as Peruvian education officials to stage pro-Bandera school events (2026-10-14): OpenAI reports that Russian operatives posed as Peruvian education officials to stage pro-Bandera school events, and calls it the widest-reaching influence operation it has found. It got that reach because a Polish MEP responded publicly after Polish media covered the event. This matches the thesis closely: a cheap campaign run through a third country that exploits Polish-Ukrainian tension inside the Western alliance, with attribution coming from a vendor's own disclosure.