# Rate Traders Put 85 Percent Odds on a September Hike as Bitcoin Holds Below $80,000

Gasoline drove most of August's headline inflation jump, but faster monthly core inflation kept the case for tightening alive ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve decision.

- Published: 2026-09-13T05:57:01.509Z
- Canonical: https://polylog.news/crypto/2026-09-13/rate-traders-put-85-percent-odds-on-a-september-hike-as-bitc
- Publisher: Polylog (Crypto desk)
- Section: macro
- Sources: [CryptoSlate (rate odds)](https://cryptoslate.com/why-bitcoin-initially-held-its-gain-as-rate-traders-put-september-hike-odds-at-85/), [CryptoSlate (ceiling)](https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoins-80000-ceiling-looks-different-after-stocks-shrugged-off-near-5-treasury-yields/), [Bitcoin Magazine](https://bitcoinmagazine.com/news/bitcoin-has-unusual-mix-says-coinshares), [CoinDesk](https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/09/12/ditching-bonds-for-bitcoin-how-crypto-can-tackle-the-ai-heavy-portfolio-dilemma)

Interest-rate markets assign roughly 85 percent probability to a Federal Reserve increase at this week's meeting, according to CryptoSlate's reading of rate futures. August's headline consumer price index rise came mostly from gasoline, but…

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