# America Puts a Price on Its Guarantees

Washington increasingly turns open-ended security commitments into conditional, domestically driven bargains, so allies keep absorbing higher defense costs and political risk that American guarantees used to cover.

- Conviction: 38 / 100 (weakening)
- Horizon: Emerging (watchlist)
- Tracking since: 2026-11-11T00:00:00.000Z
- Last updated: 2026-11-12T14:14:59.278Z
- Canonical: https://polylog.news/trends/transactional-us-alliances
- Publisher: Polylog
- Affected regions: United States, Global

## Recent score history

- 2026-11-11: 40
- 2026-11-12: 38

## Recent evidence

- [confirms] Israel's New Knesset Opens Without a Government as Washington Moves to Cut Military Aid (2026-11-11): Trump says the $4 billion a year in US military aid to Israel will end by the close of 2026, two years before the current agreement expires. It is the clearest case yet of an open-ended commitment being cut back on domestic terms, and it lands while Israel has no government and Eisenkot has not formed a coalition.