# US-China Rolling Tariff Truce

Washington and Beijing will keep extending short-dated tariff pauses instead of settling their trade dispute, so trade-exposed firms face recurring deadlines and each side keeps a ready lever over the other.

- Conviction: 34 / 100 (weakening)
- Horizon: Emerging (watchlist)
- Tracking since: 2026-11-09T00:00:00.000Z
- Last updated: 2026-11-12T14:14:59.278Z
- Canonical: https://polylog.news/trends/us-china-rolling-truce
- Publisher: Polylog
- Affected regions: United States, China

## Recent score history

- 2026-11-11: 36
- 2026-11-12: 34

## Recent evidence

- [confirms] China extends its suspension of a 24% tariff on US goods for two months and keeps a 10% levy in place (2026-11-09): Beijing extended its suspension of the 24% tariff on US goods by only two months from November 10 and kept the 10% levy, just before the APEC summit in China where Trump and Xi are expected to meet. The proposed $60 billion package of reciprocal cuts is still unfinished. This is another short-dated pause rather than a settlement, which keeps each side's lever in place.