# Partners Route Around Washington

Allied and friendly states keep responding to unilateral American trade and administrative measures by rebuilding supply chains and security relationships elsewhere, and those substitutions persist after the original measure is lifted.

- Conviction: 38 / 100 (weakening)
- Horizon: Emerging (watchlist)
- Tracking since: 2026-09-13T00:00:00.000Z
- Last updated: 2026-09-14T14:04:09.119Z
- Canonical: https://polylog.news/trends/us-partner-commercial-drift
- Publisher: Polylog
- Affected regions: Europe

## Recent score history

- 2026-09-13: 40
- 2026-09-14: 38

## Recent evidence

- [confirms] Washington's Visa Restrictions Slow Brazil Crime Cooperation as Canadian Shoppers Shun American Goods (2026-09-13): Brazilian officials say American visa restrictions are blocking expanded police cooperation, while Canadian grocers rebuild supply chains around domestic producers as shoppers shun American goods. Two friendly states are substituting away simultaneously, and the Canadian grocery reconfiguration is a capex-backed change that will not reverse when the underlying measure does.