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China and the West Contest the Pacific

Australia and its partners keep racing to lock in security commitments from Pacific island states while China counters with investment, an open-ended contest for strategic access across the region.

forming · confidence 40 · Emerging (watchlist) · tracking since June 29, 2026 · updated June 29, 2026

Why the conviction moved

  • Jun 29
    Strengthened +5

    Australia and Vanuatu signed the Nakamal Agreement barring any foreign military base on the island nation, a move Beijing views with concern.

Source trail

  • Supporting · June 29, 2026

    Australia and Vanuatu Sign Pact That Blocks Foreign Military Bases

    Australia and Vanuatu signed the Nakamal Agreement barring any foreign military base on the island nation, a move Beijing views with concern.

    Al Jazeera

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