China-Russia Military Axis Deepens
Over the next 3-6 months China and Russia tighten military and political cooperation—mutual base access, joint signaling, and 'natural allies' rhetoric—hardening a non-Western bloc that complicates Western deterrence.
strengthening · confidence 52 · -1 7d · Medium term (3-9 months) · tracking since June 5, 2026 · updated June 27, 2026
Score history
Daily conviction score, 0 to 100. Higher means the thesis is more strongly corroborated.
Now 52 · +6 since Jun 26 · ranged 46 to 52
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Why the conviction moved
- Jun 27Strengthened +6
China and Russia flew more than ten warplanes into South Korea's air defense zone, a joint operation underscoring deepening military coordination.
- Jun 26Strengthened +3
Deepening Gazprom-China gas talks alongside Putin's praise of the Belarus union reflect the hardening of a non-Western economic and political bloc (markets desk).
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Source trail
Supporting · June 27, 2026
China and Russia Fly More Than Ten Warplanes Into South Korea's Air Defense Zone
China and Russia flew more than ten warplanes into South Korea's air defense zone, a joint operation underscoring deepening military coordination.
The HinduSupporting · June 26, 2026
Gazprom Deepens Gas Talks With China as Russia Promotes Non-Western Integration
Deepening Gazprom-China gas talks alongside Putin's praise of the Belarus union reflect the hardening of a non-Western economic and political bloc (markets desk).
TASS
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