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Dedollarization and a Multipolar Monetary Order

Trade, settlement, and reserves keep diversifying away from the dollar toward the yuan and regional blocs, a slow accumulation of parallel channels that erodes dollar leverage over years rather than months.

forming · confidence 40 · Emerging (watchlist) · tracking since July 6, 2026 · updated July 6, 2026

Why the conviction moved

  • Jul 6
    Strengthened +4

    A survey of large institutions points to a slow, structural rebalancing of trade and reserves toward China's yuan and regional blocs, with Hong Kong as the anchor rather than a sudden dollar break.

Source trail

  • Supporting · July 6, 2026

    Global Investors Shift From Access to Scale in the Yuan, With Hong Kong as the Anchor

    A survey of large institutions points to a slow, structural rebalancing of trade and reserves toward China's yuan and regional blocs, with Hong Kong as the anchor rather than a sudden dollar break.

    South China Morning Post

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