Global-South Middle Powers Hedge Between Blocs
Large emerging economies increasingly refuse exclusive alignment, engaging Western, Chinese and Russian-aligned partners at once, which steadily erodes the ability of any single bloc to set the terms of global trade.
forming · confidence 40 · Emerging (watchlist) · tracking since July 3, 2026 · updated July 3, 2026
Why the conviction moved
- Jul 3Strengthened +5
Jakarta welcomed Belarusian leader Lukashenko while opening accession talks with an 11-nation Pacific trade pact, signaling a deliberately non-aligned strategy that engages multiple blocs at once.
Source trail
Supporting · July 3, 2026
Indonesia courts Belarus and the Pacific trade bloc in a widening balancing act
Jakarta welcomed Belarusian leader Lukashenko while opening accession talks with an 11-nation Pacific trade pact, signaling a deliberately non-aligned strategy that engages multiple blocs at once.
Antara (Belarus roadmap)
Unlock full source trail, score history, and daily updates.
Unlock Trends