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Sahel Instability Draws in Outside Powers

Persistent insurgency and weak governance across the Sahel keep pulling in outside military actors, especially Russia, disrupting mining and trade in a resource-rich region and turning it into a venue for great-power competition.

forming · confidence 40 · Emerging (watchlist) · tracking since July 4, 2026 · updated July 4, 2026

Why the conviction moved

  • Jul 4
    Strengthened +5

    A Tuareg-led group said it struck a northern Malian town where Malian troops and Russian fighters are based, underscoring the Sahel's fragile security.

Source trail

  • Supporting · July 4, 2026

    Armed Fighters Attack Towns Across Mali

    A Tuareg-led group said it struck a northern Malian town where Malian troops and Russian fighters are based, underscoring the Sahel's fragile security.

    Al Jazeera

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