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US Skilled-Immigration Friction

Repeated US efforts to restrict skilled-worker visas raise costs for technology firms and push more technical work offshore to India, recurring as each policy is fought in the courts.

forming · confidence 40 · Emerging (watchlist) · tracking since July 25, 2026 · updated July 25, 2026

Why the conviction moved

  • Jul 25
    Strengthened +4

    A Boston appeals panel refused to revive Trump's $100,000 H-1B fee, leaving a June ruling that struck it down as an unauthorized tax; the courts-fight-each-policy pattern the thesis predicts is playing out, mattering most for Indian tech workers.

Source trail

  • Supporting · July 25, 2026

    US Appeals Court Refuses to Revive Trump's $100,000 H-1B Visa Fee

    A Boston appeals panel refused to revive Trump's $100,000 H-1B fee, leaving a June ruling that struck it down as an unauthorized tax; the courts-fight-each-policy pattern the thesis predicts is playing out, mattering most for Indian tech workers.

    The Hindu

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Affected regions & assets

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