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Morning Edition · Thursday, September 24, 2026Published at 2:18 AM EDT · New York
Anthropic's Own Economic Model Puts Knowledge-Worker Unemployment Near 18 Percent in Its Extreme Case
The scenario explorer treats every job as a bundle of tasks and spans outcomes from internet-scale impact to 15 percent annual growth with falling wages, backed by a survey of nearly 11,000 Americans.
Anthropic's economics team published an interactive model of how artificial intelligence could change economic growth, employment, and wages through 2030, along with a working paper and a survey of 10,980 United States adults. The model is…
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Part of a tracked trend
Frontier Labs Publish the Macro Case for Their Own Technology
AI labs increasingly publish formal macroeconomic scenarios — GDP paths, labor-share trajectories, displacement estimates — that become reference inputs to fiscal and regulatory debate, so expect recurring lab-authored economic modeling, contested replication by academic and official forecasters, and policy anchored on numbers the vendors themselves produced.
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