Morning Edition · Saturday, November 7, 2026Published at 1:25 AM EST · New York
The model activates 17 billion parameters per token and reads up to 1 million tokens of text and images. The lab says Apache 2.0 weights will follow next week, and the license would carry none of the revenue conditions attached to Moonshot's newly published Kimi K3.1 Pro.

Thinking Machines Lab, the company founded by former OpenAI chief technology officer Mira Murati, released Inkling 2 Small on November 5. It is a MoE model with 594 billion total parameters and 17 billion active. It has a 292-million-parameter vision encoder based on Perception Encoder, variable reasoning effort, and a 1-million-token context window, according to the lab and secondary summaries. The Russian-language channel AI ML Big Data described it as a multimodal release that took third place on DesignArena.
For now the model runs only on Tinker, the lab's fine-tuning and inference service. Reported prices are $0.30 per million input tokens, $0.03 for cached input and $1.00 for output, with training priced at $1.50 per million tokens at 64K context (Cellcog). Meta charged $1.25 per million input tokens and $4.25 per million output tokens for its first paid Muse Spark API (AI Weekly). The lab says Apache 2.0 weights will follow next week after safety testing. Until they ship, Artificial Analysis lists the model as proprietary.
The training disclosures are unusually specific. The lab says initial pretraining covered 8.4 trillion tokens of text, code and images in 68 hours on NVIDIA GB300 NVL72 racks. It says the main RL run used 2,048 GPUs for nine days, with more than 17 million rollouts, more than 3 trillion tokens and more than 4×10²³ FLOPs (Latent Space). Under the standard 6ND approximation with 17 billion active parameters, the desk estimates initial pretraining at about 8.6×10²³ FLOPs. On those numbers the RL stage used roughly half as much compute as pretraining. Secondary tallies that add mid-training data at 512K context reach about 12 trillion tokens. That total is not the lab's headline figure.
All the benchmark numbers come from the vendor and have not been reproduced independently. The lab reports 86.3% on SWE-Bench Pro v2 (Hard), second to Moonshot's Kimi K3 at 88.2% (Pillitteri). Agentic terminal work is the weak spot. On Terminal-Bench 4.0 the model scores 13.1%, against 33.8% for DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash and 32.8% for GLM-5.3-Flash. On Terminal-Bench 2.1 the lab reports 85.1% with a different harness, against 90.6% for DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash (MarkTechPost). The model scores 31 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index. Sources disagree on its DesignArena rank: Latent Space puts it fourth overall and first among open-weight models.
The day before, Moonshot AI published the Kimi K3.1 Pro weights on Hugging Face. That model has 2.8 trillion total and 104 billion active parameters in MXFP4, takes about 1.56 terabytes on disk, and ships under a custom license with a reported revenue condition for large hosted services (DEV Community). The two releases give buyers a clear choice. Inkling is smaller, cheaper to serve and comes from a US lab. Kimi is larger and stronger on several agent benchmarks, and it comes from a Chinese lab.
Part of a tracked trend
Open-Weight Models Close the Gap With Closed Frontier Labs
Over the next 3-9 months, open-weight releases with downloadable weights, long context, and strong agentic/coding performance increasingly match closed frontier models on practical work, eroding the closed-lab moat.
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Thinking Machines Lab earns from Tinker inference and fine-tuning while the weights stay closed, and it gains a sales argument with regulated Western buyers who want a downloadable model that is not Chinese. Chinese open-weight vendors and higher-priced mid-tier closed APIs lose pricing power if the weights ship.
Several outlets match the model's specifications and the lab's own launch post, but the Apache 2.0 weights are still only a promise that depends on outside safety testing, and one tracker lists the release date as unconfirmed. Artificial Analysis calls it the highest-scoring open-weight model outside China only "upon weights release," and every benchmark figure comes from the lab itself. The model is also a different and larger system than the July Inkling-Small (276 billion total parameters, 12 billion active), which already ships under Apache 2.0.
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What this means
Inkling 2 Small competes on three things at once: a permissive license, a low active-parameter count, and US origin. Those matter most to regulated Western buyers who want weights they can download but will not deploy Chinese ones. That puts pressure on two groups. One is the Chinese open-weight vendors (Moonshot, DeepSeek, Zhipu) selling into those buyers. The other is the mid-tier closed APIs priced several times higher. The Terminal-Bench 4.0 gap shows the model is not yet a frontier agent, so it supports the open-weight trend for coding and works against it for long-horizon terminal tasks. The closest precedent is Meta's Llama 2 in July 2023. Its commercial license led to widespread enterprise fine-tuning, and Meta lost that position once Qwen and DeepSeek beat it on capability. The desk's forward read is that if the Apache 2.0 weights ship within the promised week without new restrictions, US hosting providers will list the model within weeks. Within months, at least one closed vendor should cut mid-tier prices toward the $1-per-million-output level. That would push API margins down and lift demand for GPUs used to self-host. The read is wrong if the weights slip past the stated window or arrive with usage limits, or if the weak terminal-agent scores keep enterprises on Kimi and DeepSeek for agent work.
What to watch
Observations to monitor, not financial advice.
Synthesized from: Polylog editors · Thinking Machines Lab · Latent Space · MarkTechPost · Pasquale Pillitteri
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