Morning Edition · Monday, November 2, 2026Published at 12:45 AM EST · New York
Tracking data shows that nearly nine of every ten dollars leaving Binance did not land at a rival exchange, which points to customers moving into self-custody rather than to competitors.

Binance began restoring withdrawals in phases on November 1, starting between 06:00 and 09:00 UTC, three days after attackers took about $6.3 billion from its hot wallets. Customers moved quickly. The Block reports that the exchange recorded about $3.64 billion in net outflows in the first nine and a half hours, by its own count. Bitcoin.com News puts gross withdrawals at $4.649 billion and deposits at $1.01 billion between 06:00 and 15:30 UTC. Binance said withdrawal volumes fell and then levelled off after the initial spike.
Third-party measures vary with the time window and the wallets each tracker counts. Watcher Guru reported that more than $3.75 billion left in 10 hours. CryptoSlate, citing DeFiLlama, counted $2.51 billion in net outflows from Binance's tracked wallets for November 1, including about $1.08 billion in USDT. Cointelegraph's figure, which covers 24 hours, is about $4.5 billion out of Binance.
Where the money went matters more than how much left. Cointelegraph's tally shows the next ten exchanges together took in only about $368 million, with OKX receiving most of it. Coinbase gained 984 BTC and Kraken gained 1,422 BTC. By that count, nearly nine of every ten dollars leaving Binance did not reach a rival exchange. Most of it appears to have gone to customer-controlled wallets or decentralized finance (DeFi) venues, although tracker coverage of smaller exchanges is incomplete.
Binance has said it covered about 95 percent of the stolen amount from its own reserves. That claim comes from the exchange, which has a strong interest in calming customers. Independent verification is limited to the exchange wallets that outside trackers can identify.
Part of a tracked trend
Hardware-Wallet Trust Erodes
Recurring firmware and entropy defects in self-custody hardware, now surfaced faster by AI-assisted code analysis, will keep pushing risk-averse holders toward custodial and ETF products rather than personal key management.
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If customers are moving coins into their own wallets and not to rival exchanges, Binance keeps its market share and its argument that it is solvent. Hardware-wallet makers and decentralized venues gain users, and OKX, Coinbase and Kraken gain only modestly.
Multiple trackers confirm the $3.64 billion net outflow, which Binance puts at about 2.1 percent of its roughly $171 billion in reserves. The 95 percent coverage figure comes from Binance, and an estimate CoinDesk cited suggests its ether backing may have briefly fallen to about 94 percent before the post-hack reserves report. The self-custody conclusion is an inference from money that trackers could not trace, and another tally counts $564 million reaching tracked rival exchanges, not $368 million.
An open-source-intelligence read of how likely this story is true with its real nuance, not a judgment of any outlet. It assesses the claim, weighing independent and adversarial reporting. How we label confidence.
What this means
The pressure works through customer balances. An exchange that has just lost $6.3 billion now has to pay out a further $3.6 billion or more of deposits in a single day. As long as it pays on demand, each completed withdrawal is evidence of solvency, and outflows tend to fade. The precedent is December 2022, when Binance processed several billion dollars of withdrawals in the weeks after FTX collapsed and kept operating. The new information is that the money is not moving to competitors. That cuts against this desk's tracked thesis that holders drift toward custodians and exchange-traded funds after security scares. Here, a custodial failure pushed money toward self-custody. The desk's assessment is that the likelier outcome is that net outflows shrink within one to two weeks if phased withdrawals keep completing on schedule. In that case Binance keeps its market share while the self-custody share of holdings rises. The read is wrong if Binance pauses any withdrawal phase again, delays a network, or publishes reserve figures that fall short of customer liabilities.
What to watch
Observations to monitor, not financial advice.
Synthesized from: CryptoSlate · Polylog editors · The Block · Bitcoin.com News
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