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Crypto Volume Shifts Toward the Gulf and Emerging Markets

On-chain volume growth keeps concentrating in Gulf and emerging-market jurisdictions where dollar access is scarce and regulated venues are being built, so the policy decisions that shape crypto increasingly originate outside the United States and Europe.

strengthening · confidence 43 · +3 7d · Emerging (watchlist) · tracking since September 7, 2026 · updated September 14, 2026

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Score history

Daily conviction score, 0 to 100. Higher means the thesis is more strongly corroborated.

Sep 13 · 40Sep 14 · 43

Now 43 · +3 since Sep 13 · ranged 40 to 43

Showing the last few days. Unlock full score history.

Why the conviction moved

  • Sep 14
    Strengthened +3

    Circle's $400 million Tazapay purchase was explicitly for emerging-market payment links, and Nu's distribution base is Latin American. The buy-side price signals that the growth corridor issuers are paying up for sits outside the US and EU.

  • Sep 12
    Strengthened +2

    An Indian state is drafting a plan to tokenize public infrastructure, arriving alongside the US rulemaking on blockchain shareholder registers. Sub-national governments outside the US and EU initiating tokenization programs is the policy-origination shift the thesis tracks.

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Source trail

  • Supporting · September 14, 2026

    Coinbase, Nu and Circle Move to Own the Plumbing Between Banks and Stablecoins

    Circle's $400 million Tazapay purchase was explicitly for emerging-market payment links, and Nu's distribution base is Latin American. The buy-side price signals that the growth corridor issuers are paying up for sits outside the US and EU.

    CryptoSlate
  • Supporting · September 12, 2026

    Robinhood's Chief Executive Says Companies Should Not Hold a Veto Over Tokens Tracking Their Shares

    An Indian state is drafting a plan to tokenize public infrastructure, arriving alongside the US rulemaking on blockchain shareholder registers. Sub-national governments outside the US and EU initiating tokenization programs is the policy-origination shift the thesis tracks.

    CoinDesk

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Affected regions & assets

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