▼Leaked Records Turn Holders Into Physical Targets

Score history

Daily conviction score, 0 to 100. Higher means the thesis is more strongly corroborated.

Now 30 · -2 since Aug 27 · ranged 28 to 30

Showing the last few days. Unlock full score history.

Why the conviction moved

• Aug 22
  Strengthened +4

  A separate campaign is posting physical letters imitating tax-authority mail to crypto holders, reported alongside the Iranian indictment. Attackers mailing named individuals at their home addresses confirms that identity linkage to on-chain wealth is already being operationalized offline, the step that precedes coercion.

• Aug 19
  Strengthened +4

  Block engineering lead Clay Garrett says a blockchain data provider's internal logs match the sweep of 1,082.65 BTC from a Coldcard user with what he calls extraordinary specificity, though the FBI has confirmed no identification or charge. Paid analytics accounts become a targeting database in the same way breached tax and exchange records do, widening the surveillance-to-victim pipeline the thesis tracks.

Showing the last 2 days. Unlock the full record.

Source trail

• Supporting · August 22, 2026

  United States Prosecutors Charge Iranian Hacking Crew Over Thefts Including a $6 Million Bitcoin Ransom

  A separate campaign is posting physical letters imitating tax-authority mail to crypto holders, reported alongside the Iranian indictment. Attackers mailing named individuals at their home addresses confirms that identity linkage to on-chain wealth is already being operationalized offline, the step that precedes coercion.

  Bitcoin Magazine

• Supporting · August 19, 2026

  Investigator Traces Coldcard Bitcoin Thief to a Paid Blockchain Data Account

  Block engineering lead Clay Garrett says a blockchain data provider's internal logs match the sweep of 1,082.65 BTC from a Coldcard user with what he calls extraordinary specificity, though the FBI has confirmed no identification or charge. Paid analytics accounts become a targeting database in the same way breached tax and exchange records do, widening the surveillance-to-victim pipeline the thesis tracks.

  crypto.news