▼Crypto Market-Structure Bill Vanishes From Senate's Monday Schedule as Recess Nears

Score history

Daily conviction score, 0 to 100. Higher means the thesis is more strongly corroborated.

Now 39 · -2 since Sep 4 · ranged 39 to 41

Showing the last few days. Unlock full score history.

Why the conviction moved

• Aug 21
  Strengthened +4

  Selig's 'rules if the bill fails' stance and Armstrong's September 15 deadline put a hard date on the post-recess window this trend has been tracking, confirming that the floor calendar — not the bill's substance — is the binding constraint.

• Aug 20
  Context

  The pre-recess filing window this trend was scoped to has passed without a vote; the CLARITY Act now carries a September 15 procedural vote that Trump is pressing the Senate to hold. The specific 30-day calendar question this thread tracked is settled, and the live dispute has moved to whether forcing that September vote breaks the bipartisan coalition.

Showing the last 2 days. Unlock the full record.

Source trail

• Supporting · August 21, 2026

  CFTC Chairman Says His Agency Will Build a Crypto Regime by Rule if the Senate Bill Fails

  Selig's 'rules if the bill fails' stance and Armstrong's September 15 deadline put a hard date on the post-recess window this trend has been tracking, confirming that the floor calendar — not the bill's substance — is the binding constraint.

  CoinDesk

• Context · August 20, 2026

  Trump Presses the Senate on the CLARITY Act as a Lead Democrat Warns Against Rushing It

  The pre-recess filing window this trend was scoped to has passed without a vote; the CLARITY Act now carries a September 15 procedural vote that Trump is pressing the Senate to hold. The specific 30-day calendar question this thread tracked is settled, and the live dispute has moved to whether forcing that September vote breaks the bipartisan coalition.

  crypto.news