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Victims Refuse Bounties and Escalate to Law Enforcement

Exploited crypto firms increasingly refuse the customary 10% whitehat bounty and route recovery through prosecutors and exchange freezes instead, so the informal negotiated-settlement norm that has governed large hacks erodes and attackers face a recovery process with no safe exit — raising the share of stolen funds that sit frozen or laundered rather than returned.

weakening · confidence 36 · Emerging (watchlist) · tracking since September 12, 2026 · updated September 14, 2026

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Score history

Daily conviction score, 0 to 100. Higher means the thesis is more strongly corroborated.

Sep 13 · 38Sep 14 · 36

Now 36 · -2 since Sep 13 · ranged 36 to 38

Showing the last few days. Unlock full score history.

Why the conviction moved

  • Sep 13
    Strengthened +4

    Blockstream publicly demanded the 598 bitcoin back rather than accepting the attackers' self-awarded 15 percent fee, refusing to ratify the negotiated settlement. Each refusal of this kind removes the attacker's safe exit and pushes the residual balance toward freezing or laundering instead of a clean return.

  • Sep 12
    Strengthened

    Blockstream publicly declined to pay a 10% bounty on the 598 bitcoin still held after the Liquid drain, saying it will work with law enforcement and exchanges instead. The $245 million theft ringleader pleading guilty in the US the same day shows the prosecutorial channel these firms are betting on is producing convictions.

Source trail

  • Supporting · September 13, 2026

    Blockstream Demands the 598 Bitcoin Liquid Attackers Kept as a Self-Declared Finder's Fee

    Blockstream publicly demanded the 598 bitcoin back rather than accepting the attackers' self-awarded 15 percent fee, refusing to ratify the negotiated settlement. Each refusal of this kind removes the attacker's safe exit and pushes the residual balance toward freezing or laundering instead of a clean return.

    Bitcoin Magazine
  • Supporting · September 12, 2026

    Blockstream Refuses 10% Bounty for 598 Bitcoin Still Held After Liquid Sidechain Drain

    Blockstream publicly declined to pay a 10% bounty on the 598 bitcoin still held after the Liquid drain, saying it will work with law enforcement and exchanges instead. The $245 million theft ringleader pleading guilty in the US the same day shows the prosecutorial channel these firms are betting on is producing convictions.

    Bitcoin Magazine

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Affected regions & assets

RegionsGlobal
Assets2 assetsUnlock Trends

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