▼Block Timing Becomes a Consensus Attack Surface

Score history

Daily conviction score, 0 to 100. Higher means the thesis is more strongly corroborated.

Now 34 · -2 since Aug 27 · ranged 34 to 36

Showing the last few days. Unlock full score history.

Why the conviction moved

• Aug 27
  Strengthened +3

  Solana compressed block spacing to about 365 milliseconds while holding a 0.077% skip rate in epoch 1021. Pushing slot times toward propagation limits makes skip rate and leader handoff the operative reliability metric and raises the hardware and bandwidth floor for validating, which is the mechanism the thesis tracks.

• Aug 21
  Strengthened +3

  Glamsterdam's devnet redistributes the slot's internal timing — a roughly nine-second execution-payload window in place of two — making block-timing and builder handoff parameters, not cryptography, the variable that has to be rehearsed on a public test network before mainnet.

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Source trail

• Supporting · August 27, 2026

  Solana Cuts Block Spacing to About 365 Milliseconds in First Step Toward Sub-Second Finality

  Solana compressed block spacing to about 365 milliseconds while holding a 0.077% skip rate in epoch 1021. Pushing slot times toward propagation limits makes skip rate and leader handoff the operative reliability metric and raises the hardware and bandwidth floor for validating, which is the mechanism the thesis tracks.

  CoinDesk

• Supporting · August 21, 2026

  Ethereum's Glamsterdam Devnet Extends the Execution-Payload Window From Two Seconds to About Nine

  Glamsterdam's devnet redistributes the slot's internal timing — a roughly nine-second execution-payload window in place of two — making block-timing and builder handoff parameters, not cryptography, the variable that has to be rehearsed on a public test network before mainnet.

  CryptoSlate