China keeps deepening ties with neighbors and Global South states through high-level diplomacy, assembling a bloc that runs parallel to Western-led alliances and hardens a multipolar order.
weakening · confidence 50 · -14 7d · -45 30d · Short term (next 30 days) · tracking since July 16, 2026 · updated October 29, 2026
Daily conviction score, 0 to 100. Higher means the thesis is more strongly corroborated.
Now 50 · -2 since Oct 28 · ranged 50 to 52
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Putin proposing Shenzhen as the venue for Ukraine talks puts Beijing in the role of co-arbiter of a European war. That raises China's diplomatic standing as the anchor of a parallel order.
Lai's speech responded to direct talks between Washington and Beijing, while officials on both sides watch the Kuomintang's leadership struggle. US-China bilateral engagement over Taiwan cuts against a picture of hardening rival blocs, though Lai's speech showed no change in Taipei's position.
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Supporting · October 19, 2026
Putin proposes a summit with Trump and Xi in Shenzhen to negotiate an end to the Ukraine war
Putin proposing Shenzhen as the venue for Ukraine talks puts Beijing in the role of co-arbiter of a European war. That raises China's diplomatic standing as the anchor of a parallel order.
Investing.com (Reuters)Context · October 10, 2026
Taiwan's Lai Ching-te Vows to Defend the Status Quo and Criticizes Beijing in National Day Speech
Lai's speech responded to direct talks between Washington and Beijing, while officials on both sides watch the Kuomintang's leadership struggle. US-China bilateral engagement over Taiwan cuts against a picture of hardening rival blocs, though Lai's speech showed no change in Taipei's position.
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