Washington will keep extending sanctions from hostile states to international institutions and allied jurisdictions, and each extension pushes governments to build payment channels outside the dollar system, slowly eroding the dollar's reserve role.
weakening · confidence 38 · Emerging (watchlist) · tracking since October 11, 2026 · updated October 12, 2026
Daily conviction score, 0 to 100. Higher means the thesis is more strongly corroborated.
Now 38 · -2 since Oct 11 · ranged 38 to 40
Washington sanctioned the International Criminal Court hours after former ICC judge Navi Pillay won the Nobel Peace Prize, in measures that could cut the court's roughly 900 staff off from dollar banking. This extends dollar-access denial to an international institution whose members include US allies, which strengthens their case for non-dollar channels.
Supporting · October 11, 2026
Washington Sanctions the International Criminal Court Hours After a Former Judge Wins the Nobel Peace Prize
Washington sanctioned the International Criminal Court hours after former ICC judge Navi Pillay won the Nobel Peace Prize, in measures that could cut the court's roughly 900 staff off from dollar banking. This extends dollar-access denial to an international institution whose members include US allies, which strengthens their case for non-dollar channels.
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