Israel's fragmented parliament will keep producing caretaker or narrow governments, so war and budget decisions are made without a clear mandate and the shekel carries a recurring premium for coalition risk.
forming · confidence 40 · Emerging (watchlist) · tracking since October 31, 2026 · updated October 31, 2026
The final count leaves Netanyahu's bloc at 53 seats, eight short of a Knesset majority, with Arab parties holding 19 and certification due November 4. The dollar rose above 3.14 shekels this week as the coalition-risk premium shows up in the currency.
Supporting · October 31, 2026
Final Count Leaves Netanyahu's Bloc at 53 Seats, Eight Short of a Knesset Majority
The final count leaves Netanyahu's bloc at 53 seats, eight short of a Knesset majority, with Arab parties holding 19 and certification due November 4. The dollar rose above 3.14 shekels this week as the coalition-risk premium shows up in the currency.
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