Israel's post-October 7 politics keep producing fragmented results with no clear majority, so coalition bargaining rather than the vote itself drives shekel and Israeli risk pricing, and prolonged government formation feeds uncertainty over Iran and Gaza war policy.
forming · confidence 35 · Emerging (watchlist) · tracking since October 27, 2026 · updated October 27, 2026
About 7.3 million Israelis are voting among 36 lists, with polls showing neither Netanyahu's nor Eisenkot's bloc reaching a majority. JPMorgan estimates the shekel could move by up to 3% depending on the result.
Supporting · October 27, 2026
Israelis vote with polls showing neither Netanyahu's bloc nor Eisenkot's bloc reaching a majority
About 7.3 million Israelis are voting among 36 lists, with polls showing neither Netanyahu's nor Eisenkot's bloc reaching a majority. JPMorgan estimates the shekel could move by up to 3% depending on the result.
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