Morning Edition · Sunday, August 23, 2026Published at 1:11 AM EDT · New York
Indian refiners took about 2.47 million barrels a day from Russia in July, a 62 percent increase on a year earlier, at an average Urals price near 60 dollars a barrel while Brent trades close to 94.

India's dependence on Russian crude has reached an all-time high, the Financial Times reported, and the newspaper framed the shift as evidence of New Delhi's energy security vulnerability rather than of commercial strength.
Russian and Indian accounts emphasize the same figures. Russian crude accounted for more than half of India's import volumes in July, with Indian refiners lifting about 2.47 million barrels a day, a 62.4 percent increase from a year earlier, according to trade data cited by Indian and Russian outlets. The average price of Urals fell about 3 percent in July to 60.22 dollars a barrel, well below the 93.87 dollars at which Brent settled on August 21.
Indian commentary attributes the concentration to the war between the United States and Iran, which has raised freight and insurance costs on Gulf cargoes and made discounted barrels arriving through longer routes more attractive than nearer supply.
The price discount is the entire rationale for the trade. It exists because sanctions restrict the buyer pool for Russian barrels, and it survives only while those restrictions hold and while alternative Gulf supply carries a war premium. India, the world's third-largest oil importer, has replaced diversification with a single dominant supplier priced roughly 34 dollars below the global benchmark.
Part of a tracked trend
Middle East War Premium Returns to Oil
Renewed US-Iran conflict reinstates a geopolitical risk premium in crude that reverses the earlier de-escalation slide, feeding energy-driven inflation and redistributing income toward oil producers each time brinkmanship flares.
Russian export revenue and Indian refining margins both depend on the discount continuing, and the framing that India is vulnerable rather than opportunistic serves Western advocates of secondary sanctions, while Russian and Indian outlets use the same numbers to argue the opposite.
The 50.83 percent share and 2.47 million barrels a day are Reuters trade data and hold up, but the record is one of share rather than volume, since July shipments were about 4.8 percent below June's higher figure, and the attribution of the shift to the United States-Iran war is commentary rather than measured causation.
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What this means
A discount of that size on more than two million barrels a day lowers the import bill and supports Indian refining margins, which helps the rupee and keeps domestic fuel prices lower than they would otherwise be. The exposure runs the other way if the supply is interrupted, because there is no idle Gulf barrel priced at 60 dollars to replace it, and the substitute is Brent near 94. Indian refiners, the government's current account, and Russian export revenue all depend on the same arrangement continuing.
Synthesized from: Financial Times · Pravda (English) · Outlook Business
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