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Morning Edition · Wednesday, July 15, 2026Published at 1:32 AM EDT · New York
A Forecaster's Case That Data-Center Timelines Predict the Next Frontier Model
Peter Wildeford argues construction schedules and the Epoch Capabilities Index, not leaks, are the best early signals of when a new frontier model arrives.
Peter Wildeford, a forecaster who works with Epoch AI, argues that the most reliable early indicators of the next frontier model are not rumors but data-center construction timelines and the trajectory of the Epoch Capabilities Index, a com…
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