Morning Edition · Friday, August 14, 2026Published at 2:27 AM EDT · New York
A widely shared claim that 19 of 24 predictions came true tracks against a public tracker that lists 19 confirmed out of 53, with qualitative calls holding up better than numerical ones.

A claim circulating this week holds that 19 of 24 predictions from the 2025 AI 2027 scenario have materialized. The public tracker that scores the scenario reports a different denominator. It lists 19 predictions confirmed or running ahead…
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AI Hype Cycles and Funding Narratives
As capital floods AI, the narratives labs use to raise money and shape rules face growing public scrutiny, and the market increasingly separates verifiable capability and revenue from rhetoric on both the bullish and the cautionary side.
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