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The Polylog Crypto Intelligence Brief

Morning Edition · Saturday, July 18, 2026Published at 1:32 AM EDT · New York

Prediction Markets Draw Regulators and a Decentralized Challenger at Once

Augur relaunched a decentralized dispute layer as France ordered internet providers to block Polymarket and traders cut the odds of United States market-structure legislation to a low.

Prediction Markets Draw Regulators and a Decentralized Challenger at Once

Prediction markets are expanding and attracting official scrutiny in the same week. Augur, one of the earliest on-chain prediction protocols, returned with a proposed resolution system and a two-month token migration, positioning itself as…

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Prediction Markets Collide With Gambling and Securities Rules

As prediction markets scale into a mainstream forecasting and betting layer, regulators keep treating them as gambling or derivatives venues, pushing the contest between licensed centralized platforms and censorship-resistant decentralized ones.