Morning Edition · Wednesday, September 30, 2026Published at 2:00 AM EDT · New York
Market-implied odds of an October hike fell to about 50 percent from roughly 70 percent, and CryptoQuant's trend gauge sits near its maximum reading even as buying slows.

Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr renewed his call for further interest-rate increases to bring inflation back to 2 percent, while market-implied odds of a hike at the October meeting fell to about 50 percent from roughly 70 percent, cr…
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Part of a tracked trend
Inflation Reacceleration Reopens the Hiking Cycle
US core inflation prints keep coming in above consensus, forcing markets to price renewed Fed tightening rather than the cuts that underpinned 2025 risk-asset positioning, so each upside CPI surprise repeats the same transmission — higher front-end rates, a firmer dollar, and compressed multiples on long-duration and leveraged assets.
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