← The Global Intelligence Brief
3 sources
Morning Edition · Wednesday, August 12, 2026Published at 1:04 AM EDT · New York
China's Gig Economy Now Absorbs Tens of Millions of Workers Leaving Formal Jobs
The Financial Times counts 53 million people in food delivery and ride-hailing, while official estimates put flexible employment at about 320 million, roughly 44 percent of the workforce.
China's labour market is absorbing the property downturn through low-paid platform work. The Financial Times reports that 53 million people now earn low wages in food delivery and ride-hailing as construction contracts and manufacturers automate.
The aggregate numbers are larger. Flexible employment is estimated to reach about 320 million this year, up from 280 million in 2025, or roughly 44 percent of the workforce, Reuters reported in an analysis of the same shift. Pay inside the sector is diverging. Average hourly earnings for the country's 16 million delivery riders rose 11 percent to 37.3 yuan in 2025, while wages for 37.2 million ride-hailing drivers fell 1.8 percent.
Saturation is visible at city level. Allwork.Space reported that more than 400,000 ride-hailing drivers in Shenzhen averaged fewer than five trips a day in April. Youth unemployment stood at 16.5 percent in December 2025 on the official measure, and some economists argue the effective rate is far higher once discouraged and involuntarily part-time workers are counted.
A decade of credit-financed construction created employment that the completed buildings cannot sustain. The adjustment is showing up not as mass unemployment but as underemployment at falling wages, which is the slower and more politically manageable version of the same correction.
What this means
Household income growth, not export demand, is the main limit on Chinese consumption, and platform work pays too little and too irregularly to support it. That keeps domestic demand weak, pushes Chinese manufacturers to sell excess inventory abroad at low prices, and pushes down prices in Europe and emerging markets while inviting more tariff responses. It also strains a welfare system built around formal employers, which increases pressure on local government budgets already weakened by falling land sales.
What to watch
- Monthly Chinese retail sales and household savings figures, which show whether income from gig work translates into spending or precaution.
- Enforcement of the new platform worker protections due by 2027, because social insurance contributions would raise platform costs and cut the number of jobs the sector can absorb.
- Chinese export prices for consumer goods, the channel through which weak domestic demand reaches other countries' inflation rates.
Observations to monitor, not financial advice.
Synthesized from: Financial Times · Reuters (via Investing.com) · Allwork.Space
Townsquare
Start a discussion in Townsquare.
More from this edition
- Brent Nears $90 as Iran Restates Its Terms for Reopening the Strait of Hormuz
- Gold Holds Above $4,400 Before the United States Publishes July Inflation Data
- Washington Presses Kyiv to Spare Tankers Loading Kazakh Crude at Novorossiysk
- Six Crew Killed on a Cargo Ship in the Bab al-Mandeb as Red Sea War-Risk Premiums Pass 1 Percent
- Trump Returns to Sanctions on Iran as American Weapons Stockpiles Thin
- Yen Trades Near 159 per Dollar as Tokyo's Joint Intervention Loses Effect
- Bitcoin Stalls Near $64,000 While a Cross-Chain Bridge Loses $200,000 to Fake Deposits
- Financial Times Reports AI Agents Ran Automated Break-Ins Against Taiwan
Comments
0No comments yet.