Morning Edition · Friday, August 28, 2026Published at 1:07 AM EDT · New York
Police deployed about 18,000 personnel around the Jakarta complex on the anniversary of last year's deadly protests, with President Prabowo Subianto's approval rating reported at 38 percent.

Thousands of Indonesians gathered outside parliament in Jakarta to demand harsher penalties for corruption, Al Jazeera reported, with students also rallying in Yogyakarta and Makassar. Authorities deployed about 18,000 police around the parliamentary complex, one year after protests that turned deadly.
The government's answer came through the budget. Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa said Jakarta is committed to a healthy, credible and sustainable state budget for 2027, state news agency Antara reported. President Prabowo Subianto presented those plans on 14 August against falling approval ratings and investor scepticism about proposed commodity export controls and other spending commitments. A Tempo poll put his approval at 38 percent in August.
The specific grievance driving the protests is the gap between what the state spends and what citizens receive. Prabowo's flagship free meals programme, promised to millions of children, has been accompanied by governance failures, mass food poisoning incidents and legal challenges. Demonstrators are not asking for less spending. They are asking why the spending does not reach them.
Indonesia is the largest economy in Southeast Asia and a major exporter of coal, nickel and palm oil. Its fiscal credibility is what allows it to borrow at manageable rates in a year when the dollar has stayed firm and inflation has not returned to target in the United States.
Part of a tracked trend
Street Politics Tests Emerging-Market Budgets
Populist spending promises in large emerging markets keep colliding with bond-market scrutiny and public anger over delivery, so budget credibility becomes the recurring swing factor for their currencies and borrowing costs.
Indonesia's finance ministry gains from meeting protest anger with a fiscal-credibility message aimed at bondholders, and holders of rupiah debt gain from any signal that spending promises will be trimmed rather than expanded.
The 38 percent figure conflates two different measures, since Tempo's survey recorded public satisfaction with the Prabowo-Gibran government at 37 percent while a separate July survey put the president's approval at 51.1 percent, and the free meals programme has already had its budget cut twice, which the demonstrations complicate rather than confirm.
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What this means
Two constraints are now pressing on the same budget. Domestic protest pushes toward more visible social spending and enforcement, while foreign investors want deficit discipline and predictable export rules. The rupiah and Indonesian government bonds are the instruments where that tension gets priced, and the export-control proposals sit at the centre of it because they affect nickel and coal buyers directly. The determining factor is whether the 2027 budget passes with credible revenue assumptions or relies on optimistic forecasts, which is what would move Indonesia's borrowing costs.
Synthesized from: Al Jazeera · Antara
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