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Morning Edition · Saturday, July 25, 2026Published at 1:28 AM EDT · New York

Japan Courts India and Malaysia to Escape a US-China AI Duopoly

Tokyo is building artificial-intelligence dialogues with Global South partners to reduce reliance on the dominant American and Chinese firms.

Japan Courts India and Malaysia to Escape a US-China AI Duopoly

Japan is establishing artificial-intelligence dialogue frameworks with countries including India and Malaysia in an effort to reduce its dependence on the dominant firms in the United States and China, the South China Morning Post reported. The outreach is aimed at partners across the Global South and is intended to promote Japanese companies abroad while building shared standards outside the two leading spheres.

The move reflects a growing recognition among middle powers that the concentration of advanced AI in a handful of American and Chinese companies is a strategic vulnerability rather than a convenience. By assembling a network of like-minded states, Tokyo is trying to create a third pole with enough combined market weight to sustain its own suppliers.

That ambition runs directly into the reality that the underlying chips, models and computing capacity remain concentrated in the two leaders. Whether a coalition of middle powers can build genuine independence, or only a lighter dependence, is the question that will determine if a real third bloc emerges.

Part of a tracked trend

China Builds a Parallel Technology Stack

United States export controls push China to develop its own chips, computing hardware and artificial-intelligence systems, accelerating a split of global technology into competing spheres that reshapes supply chains and standards.

What this means

The AI industry is fragmenting from a duopoly toward competing spheres, and middle powers are trying to carve out a place in between. Japanese technology firms and their partners in India and Malaysia gain a potential market if the coalition builds shared standards, while the dominant US and Chinese platforms risk losing captive customers. The channel is standards and procurement: whichever framework governments adopt shapes which companies win years of contracts.

What to watch

  • Whether these dialogues produce concrete joint projects or shared standards, the test of whether a third AI pole is real or rhetorical.
  • How the United States and China respond, since export controls or preferential access could pull hesitant partners back into one of the two dominant spheres.

Observations to monitor, not financial advice.

1 source

Source: South China Morning Post