The Polylog Global Intelligence Brief

Morning Edition · Wednesday, November 11, 2026

Macro

Hotter October Inflation Pushes Markets to Price a December Fed Rate Increase

Consumer prices rose 0.4% for the month, above the 0.3% forecast, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield briefly above 5% and pulling gold down about 2%.

3 sources

Markets

Brent Rebounds From Two-Month Low as Attacks on Hormuz Shipping Continue

Crude rose about 0.8% to near $92 a barrel early Wednesday after 37 vessels were attacked in and near the strait in October, and Iran kept open a conditional offer to reopen the waterway within two days.

4 sources
Plausible

Tech

Nvidia Falls for a Second Day as Its Board Investigates Huang's Ties to an Alleged Chinese Agent

The shares lost 5.47% on Tuesday after a 4.27% drop on Monday, as reports linked about $7.5 billion of Nvidia chips reaching China to a network tied to the executive.

3 sources
Plausible

Geopolitics

Russia, US and Ukraine Resume Abu Dhabi Talks With European Delegates Excluded

The talks ended Wednesday with an agreement in principle on a large prisoner exchange, but no progress on territory or a ceasefire, as Witkoff and Kushner prepare to brief Putin in Moscow and then meet Zelensky in Dublin.

3 sources
PlausibleUpdated

Macro

Japanese Savers Buy Over ¥2 Trillion of Retail Government Bonds as Takaichi's Food Tax Cut Reaches the Upper House

The five-year retail bond pays 2.39%, and the tax cut would cost about ¥5 trillion a year with no funding source specified.

2 sources

Tech

Anthropic's Bankers Prepare to Raise the IPO Valuation to $1.5 Trillion or More

Investor demand is pushing up the listing price even as hedge funds report a poor month and struggle to find returns outside artificial intelligence.

2 sources

Geopolitics

Taiwan Says a Chinese Carrier Group Is Rehearsing Area Denial in the Western Pacific

American think tanks estimate that more than 100 Chinese warships and coast-guard vessels from three regional commands are taking part in an unannounced exercise, which Beijing has not confirmed.

1 source
Plausible

Geopolitics

Drones Hit Russia's Ust-Luga Baltic Port and Injure Three Workers

The attack led an Istanbul-to-St. Petersburg flight to divert to Helsinki, passengers said, as Zelensky presented Northern European partners with a winter plan that includes extra diesel and protection for bridges.

4 sources
Corroborated

Geopolitics

Israel's New Knesset Opens Without a Government as Washington Moves to Cut Military Aid

Gadi Eisenkot has not assembled a coalition to replace caretaker Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and Trump says $4 billion a year in American military aid will end by the close of 2026, two years before the current agreement expires.

4 sources
Plausible

World

House Republicans Block Hegseth Impeachment Effort Before Democrats Take Control of Congress

The defense secretary said he would repeat the Yemen, Iran and drug-boat operations, and Argentine analysts expect a Democratic Congress to force Trump to negotiate spending, tariffs and artificial-intelligence rules.

4 sources
Corroborated

Macro

Argentina Awaits October Inflation Data With Monthly Price Growth Stuck Near 2%

Analysts expect a 1.8% monthly rise on Thursday, while textile output has fallen almost 34% in three years and about 1,000 textile firms have closed under President Javier Milei.

3 sources

Markets

Petrobras Profit Rises 21.5% as Brazil Studies Imports of Argentine Vaca Muerta Gas

Venezuela also signed a non-binding memorandum on ExxonMobil's return after 19 years, according to MercoPress, though Exxon's chief executive urged caution earlier this month.

3 sources
Corroborated