Morning Edition · Saturday, November 14, 2026Published at 12:15 AM EST · New York
Miners pay Paraguay about $350 million a year for electricity at $44 per megawatt-hour, and the utility calls the December 31, 2027 expiry date final.

Paraguay's state utility, the National Electricity Administration (ANDE), sells power to about 4% of the world's bitcoin mining under contracts priced at $44 a megawatt-hour. Those contracts expire on December 31, 2027. CoinDesk reported that ANDE calls the date final and has just signed a 15-year deal to power an AI campus backed by Founders Fund. Miners pay the country about $350 million a year.
AI companies are offering longer contracts. Crusoe, a former bitcoin miner that now builds AI infrastructure, is working with the Paraguayan developer Araico on a Latin American AI cloud powered by the Itaipu hydroelectric dam, with a launch planned for mid-2027. Mining firms already in the country, including Penguin Group, are shifting their Paraguayan operations toward AI computing.
The same competition is under way in the US. The Senate approved a preliminary version of the Bipartisan Affordability and Jobs Act, and OilPrice argued that it could let AI companies outmuscle traditional utilities for generation and grid access. In both countries, buyers of computing power are using long contracts and political support to secure cheap firm electricity ahead of other industrial users.
For miners, the issue is margins. Bitcoin below $70,000 and rising difficulty already squeeze their revenue. Losing $44 power at the end of 2027 would force them to move to Ethiopia, Central Asia or the Gulf, or to switch to AI hosting themselves.
Part of a tracked trend
AI Outbids Everyone for Cheap Power
AI computing buyers will keep outbidding bitcoin miners, utilities and other industrial users for cheap firm electricity through long contracts and political backing, forcing displaced users to relocate or convert.
What this means
Electricity is moving to the buyer who will sign the longest contract at a fixed price. AI campuses offer 15 years, bitcoin miners usually commit for shorter periods, so utilities prefer AI. Paraguayan miners, listed mining companies with Latin American sites, and Paraguay's state budget are exposed, because the country earns hard currency from both groups. Hyperscale AI developers gain cheap renewable power. The market has priced the bitcoin halving but not the loss of cheap hosting sites. When China banned mining in 2021, the hash rate moved to the US and Kazakhstan within months, so the network adjusts quickly while individual operators lose money. The likelier outcome over the next year is that miners in Paraguay sign AI conversion deals or announce moves before the contracts end, while Paraguay's share of global mining falls. This depends on ANDE keeping the expiry date. It would be wrong if ANDE offers a new tariff for miners that can run alongside AI, which would show the utility values the revenue more than the long contracts.
What to watch
Observations to monitor, not financial advice.
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