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Morning Edition · Wednesday, July 15, 2026Published at 1:13 AM EDT · New York

BYD Says It Can Overtake Toyota Without Selling in the United States

The Chinese carmaker's international chief signaled an intensified push into Europe as domestic demand at home stays weak.

BYD Says It Can Overtake Toyota Without Selling in the United States

BYD, China's largest electric-vehicle (EV) maker, believes it can become the world's biggest carmaker without entering the United States market, its international operations chief said, signaling that European expansion will intensify. The comment reflects a company confident it can displace Japan's Toyota on the strength of China, emerging markets, and a deeper push into Europe alone.

The strategy is shaped by China's own economy. With domestic demand soft and the home EV market saturated and fiercely price-competitive, BYD and its rivals are increasing the volume they sell abroad, and Europe is the largest accessible market open to them. That has already drawn European Union tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, which BYD is countering by building assembly plants inside Europe to produce locally and avoid import duties.

Ceding the United States, effectively closed to Chinese cars by tariffs and political resistance, is a recognition of how the global auto market is fragmenting into blocs. BYD is counting on its scale everywhere outside the United States being enough to become the world's largest carmaker, a claim that would have been implausible a few years ago.

Part of a tracked trend

China's Export Surplus Deepens

A weak Chinese domestic economy keeps the country dependent on exporting its manufacturing surplus, sustaining global trade friction and exporting deflation to trading partners.

What this means

BYD's export drive is the auto-sector version of China's surplus problem: weak demand at home pushes manufacturers to sell heavily in foreign markets, pressuring incumbents like Toyota and Volkswagen on price and market share. European carmakers and their workforces are the most exposed, facing a competitor that can build locally to avoid tariffs, while consumers gain cheaper vehicles. The retreat from the United States market confirms the global auto industry is splitting into separate trading blocs.

What to watch

  • Whether BYD's European local production ramps up, because domestic assembly would offset the EU's tariffs and accelerate its share gains.
  • Whether European regulators tighten rules on Chinese carmakers further, the test of how much protection incumbents will receive.
  • Whether legacy automakers cut prices or capacity in response, the clearest sign BYD's expansion is reshaping competition.

Observations to monitor, not financial advice.

1 source

Source: Financial Times