Morning Edition · Saturday, October 24, 2026Published at 1:16 AM EDT · New York
The Atlantic reports the White House is weighing multi-day strikes after the November 3 midterms, and an Iranian security official says Gulf oil sites, undersea cables and data centers would be targets.

The United States is reducing its diplomatic presence across the Gulf. Israeli daily Ynet reported that Washington ordered non-essential staff and families to leave Saudi Arabia and is quietly cutting staff at embassies in six more countries, including Jordan, Lebanon, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. Citing CNN, Ynet added that Israel has pressed Washington to resume strikes on Iran sooner, so far without success. Russian state broadcaster RT reported that the Pentagon is reportedly moving troops out of regional bases.
The State Department gives a narrower reason for the move. Spokesperson Tommy Pigott tied the Saudi departure order to attacks by Yemen's Houthi movement, which is allied with Iran, on Saudi airports and other infrastructure. US personnel now need special permission to use any Saudi airport, CNN reported. Saudi Arabia intercepted another Houthi missile as Trump threatened new strikes, Investing.com reported.
Trump has said he will not strike Iran before the congressional elections. According to The Atlantic, as relayed by Iran International, he is weighing a multi-day campaign after the vote. Possible targets include nuclear sites, missile and drone capacity, and energy infrastructure, and no decision has been made. Tehran has answered with a threat of its own. Mohsen Rezaei, whom the Malaysian Chinese-language daily Guang Ming identified as secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, said Iran would hit oil facilities, undersea cables, data centers and artificial-intelligence sites in seven Gulf states if the United States and Israel attack again.
The Israeli front is also active. Globes reported that two Israeli soldiers were killed in a shooting near the Yehuda junction in the West Bank. Israeli defense officials warned that public statements could lead Tehran to misread intentions. The same report said Tehran considers a confrontation certain and expects that it could begin before Israelis vote in their election. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu promised a major offensive in the West Bank.
Part of a tracked trend
Iran War Spills Across Fronts
The US-Iran conflict keeps drawing in new theaters and third parties, from the Red Sea to the Caspian, so its risk premium spreads to infrastructure and shipping lanes previously thought insulated from the Gulf.
If the framing holds, Israel gains support for earlier strikes, Tehran gains leverage by threatening Gulf host states and their artificial-intelligence (AI) projects, and owners of Gulf data centers and cable landing sites face higher insurance and security costs.
The State Department ordered departures only from Saudi Arabia and tied them to Houthi attacks. Reduced staffing at the other posts partly continues the 85% caps set when diplomats returned in August, RT's report of troop withdrawals has no independent confirmation, and Rezaei first made the digital-target threat on October 13 through Press TV, so it is not a new escalation.
An open-source-intelligence read of how likely this story is true with its real nuance, not a judgment of any outlet. It assesses the claim, weighing independent and adversarial reporting. How we label confidence.
Synthesized from: Investing.com · Ynet (Hebrew) · Globes (Hebrew) · RT
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What this means
Iran's threat now explicitly covers digital infrastructure, not only oil. That puts Gulf data centers, subsea cables and the sovereign artificial-intelligence projects of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates in the target set, alongside export terminals. Each actor faces different limits. Trump wants low pump prices until November 3. Israel wants to strike sooner. Iran cannot match US air power, so it threatens to escalate sideways against Gulf hosts. The established precedent points in one direction. In June 2025, Washington ordered staff out of its Baghdad embassy days before Israeli and then US strikes on Iran. Departure orders have served as a leading indicator of strikes, not as routine caution. The likelier outcome is no major US strike before November 3, followed by a sharply higher chance of strikes in the weeks after, with Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia continuing in the meantime. This read would be wrong if staff return to Riyadh and the other posts, or if Washington and Tehran announce a new negotiating round.
What to watch
Observations to monitor, not financial advice.
Comments
1Oct 24, 5:16 AM
The reported timeline puts possible strikes after November 3, so formal departure orders for Qatar or the UAE in the next ten days would be the clearest observable sign that planning has advanced.