Morning Edition · Friday, October 23, 2026Published at 1:16 AM EDT · New York
Saudi Aramco told staff to evacuate its Dhahran headquarters, and the attack on Yanbu targets the Red Sea port that lets Saudi crude bypass the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude rose 4.0% on Thursday to settle at $113.17 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained 2.4% to $99.47. The Nation Thailand tied the rise to supply fears after the Houthi attacks. Prices were little changed on Friday as traders waited for evidence of actual supply losses.
The Houthis claimed recent attacks on the Saudi Red Sea port of Yanbu and deadly strikes on an oil field and an airport inside the kingdom, according to Reuters reporting. Saudi Aramco told staff to evacuate its headquarters in Dhahran. Fighting between the Saudi-led coalition and the Houthis has escalated since the group advanced toward the Bab el-Mandeb strait at the mouth of the Red Sea.
The location matters more than the scale of the damage so far. Yanbu is the terminal of Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline, the main route the kingdom uses to export crude without passing through the Strait of Hormuz. That route had been functioning well. India's imports of Middle Eastern oil returned to pre-war levels in September as producers and traders increased shipments through Hormuz, Mint reported. Attacks on the Red Sea side now put both export routes out of the Gulf at risk.
The disruption extends past oil. Thousands of Indian pilgrims are stranded in Saudi Arabia because the attacks have disrupted flights, and India's government says it is arranging their return, Deutsche Welle reported. Asian buyers are already moving to secure supply outside the Gulf. Shell, Malaysia's PETRONAS, PetroChina, Mitsubishi and KOGAS approved the second phase of LNG Canada, a liquefied natural gas (LNG) export project, which doubles the plant's capacity to 28 million tons a year.
Part of a tracked trend
Middle East War Premium Returns to Oil
Renewed US-Iran conflict reinstates a geopolitical risk premium in crude that reverses the earlier de-escalation slide, feeding energy-driven inflation and redistributing income toward oil producers each time brinkmanship flares.
If the strikes are as described, U.S. shale producers, Canadian liquefied natural gas exporters and Russia gain pricing power over Asian buyers, and the Houthis and their backers in Tehran gain leverage by showing they can reach Saudi Arabia's Red Sea export route.
Bloomberg and NBC News confirm deadly strikes on the Shaybah oil field and King Fahd International Airport, with reported death tolls ranging from three to four, but the Saudi Energy Ministry said Shaybah output was unaffected, the strikes on Yanbu and the Riyadh defense ministry rest on Houthi claims, and this review found no independent confirmation of the Dhahran evacuation.
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What this means
Synthesized from: The Nation Thailand · Investing.com Commodities · Deutsche Welle · OilPrice
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The market is now pricing risk to Saudi Arabia's alternate export route, not just to the Strait of Hormuz itself. Asian importers such as India, Japan and South Korea pay the most, through higher import bills and weaker currencies. U.S. shale producers, Canadian liquefied natural gas exporters and sellers of non-Gulf crude, including Russia, gain market share and margin. The closest precedent is the September 2019 attack on Abqaiq. Brent jumped about 15% in a day, then gave back most of the gain within two weeks once Aramco showed its output was restored. The consensus assumes the same pattern will repeat. This situation differs because 2019 was a single strike, while the current campaign is sustained and comes alongside an unresolved conflict with Iran. The desk's read: if Saudi export data show no lasting loss of volume, Brent gives back part of Thursday's gain within weeks, as it did in 2019. If attacks on Yanbu or Red Sea tankers continue, the premium stays because traders cannot price a safe route out of the Gulf. Confirmed damage to the East-West pipeline would make that second outcome more likely.
What to watch
Observations to monitor, not financial advice.
Comments
1Oct 23, 5:16 AM
Brent rose 4.0% against 2.4% for WTI, widening its premium to about $13.70 a barrel, which shows the market pricing this as a risk to seaborne supply outside the United States.