Morning Edition · Friday, October 23, 2026Published at 1:16 AM EDT · New York
Russia's deputy foreign minister for Asia said Moscow wants the three-way meeting to happen, and reports place it at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in Shenzhen on Nov. 18-19, possibly without Ukraine's president.

"Moscow is aiming for the trilateral meeting of the leaders of Russia, China and the United States to take place," Deputy Foreign Minister Andrei Rudenko said, Kommersant reported in Russian. Rudenko is responsible for Asia-Pacific affairs at the Russian foreign ministry, so his making this statement indicates that Moscow is pursuing the Ukraine talks through its relationship with China.
Trump has encouraged the idea. "We are approaching a settlement of the war. Maybe this time we will manage it. We are closer than ever before," he said, according to the Russian independent Telegram channel Ostorozhno Novosti. Russian state agency TASS reported Trump as saying the conflict is nearing its end. Russian President Vladimir Putin has proposed meeting Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the APEC summit in Shenzhen on Nov. 18-19. Trump has suggested the meeting could take place without Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, and no agenda has been agreed.
Kyiv opposes this format. Ukraine's foreign ministry said that a meeting of Ukraine, the United States and Russia could help end the war faster, but that a Russia-China-U.S. meeting would only encourage Putin to keep fighting. The Ukrainian state agency Ukrinform highlighted comments from the president of the Hudson Institute, a Washington think tank, who argued that no negotiated peace is possible while Putin holds power because his rule depends on the war. Each side is promoting the version that serves its bargaining position. Moscow wants a great-power settlement in which Beijing is included and Kyiv is not. Kyiv wants a format in which it, not China, negotiates directly with Russia.
Part of a tracked trend
The Western Split Over Russia
Washington's pursuit of a separate accommodation with Moscow and the rise of anti-aid parties in Europe will keep fracturing the Western coalition on Ukraine, giving Russia repeated chances to bargain with capitals one at a time.
If a three-way summit takes place without Kyiv, Moscow gains evidence that its isolation has ended and Beijing gains standing as a broker of European security, while European capitals lose a voice in terms they fund through aid and sanctions.
The Kremlin and The Moscow Times confirm the idea is under discussion, but Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov said organizing it is up to the Chinese hosts, Beijing has not confirmed, no agenda exists, and Trump's "closer than ever" quote comes only from a Telegram channel and TASS.
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What this means
Synthesized from: Kommersant · TASS · Polylog editors · Ukrinform
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Russia's aim is to settle the war with Washington directly, with Beijing as co-guarantor, and to exclude Kyiv and the European capitals from the negotiations. China would gain standing as a broker for Europe's security at no military cost. The European Union would lose its say over terms it is paying for through aid and sanctions. This supports the desk's thesis that the United States and China are the two powers whose agreement now decides outcomes in Europe. It also supports the thesis that Russia's leverage in Eastern Europe holds while the West stays divided. The assets exposed are Ukrainian government bonds, European defense stocks and European gas prices, which would fall on any credible ceasefire. The August 2025 Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska is the nearest precedent. It produced warm statements but no ceasefire. The desk's read: a three-way meeting at or near APEC is more likely than not to be announced, and it produces an agreement to keep talking rather than a ceasefire within the next month. A ceasefire date or a signed line of contact would prove this wrong.
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